Packers Target Patriots in Week 9 Showdown at Gillette

Jordan Love will throw for the Green Bay Packers on Sunday when they visit the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. The kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Both teams entered the contest with identical 5-3 records and have won their most recent games. DraftKings lists New England as a three-point home favorite, and the total points line is set at 46.5.

The Packers defeated the Carolina Panthers on Thursday night, a game that featured three touchdown passes from Love. He completed passes for 288 yards in that victory. Receiver Christian Watson played with a broken rib and was transported to a hospital by ambulance but returned to the field. Watson finished with 113 receiving yards, while Matthew Golden added 79 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Tucker Kraft had six receptions for 63 yards and a score. Running back Josh Jacobs rushed for 52 yards and two touchdowns. Green Bay held the Panthers to under 20 points, a defensive standard the team has maintained in four of its last five contests.

New England has won three straight games since its early-season struggles. The Patriots beat the Miami Dolphins 24-19 in Week 8, with quarterback Drake Maye throwing three touchdown passes. Maye has averaged 279.6 passing yards and 14 touchdowns over the past five games while throwing only two interceptions. He is the 2025 MVP runner-up. The Patriots have been strong at home, winning three games this season and going 9-3 at Gillette since the start of last season. They have five receivers with at least 200 receiving yards each. Running back Rhamondre Stevenson has 579 total yards and three touchdowns. The defensive line has recorded 22 sacks, led by Elijah Ponder with six.

The teams have a recent history that favors Green Bay. The Packers beat the Patriots 27-24 in overtime at Lambeau Field in 2022. Since the Packers defeated New England in the Super Bowl following the 1996 season, the teams have played only seven times. The Patriots had won three of the previous four meetings before that 2022 loss.

SportsLine expert R.J. White supports the Packers as plus-money underdogs. White noted that New England's recent offensive success came against defenses that allowed 26 or more points to the Jaguars, Bills, and Bears. The SportsLine model, which has a 60-51 record on top-rated picks since 2024, projects the Packers to win in 49% of simulations and cover the spread in 53%. The model has generated over $5,000 in profit for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception.

Green Bay has gone under the total in six of its eight games, while New England has gone over in five of its eight. The Patriots are 3-4-1 against the spread, with a 2-1 record at home. The Packers are 5-3 against the spread and 2-2 on the road.